After week 7
The rankings
| # | Move | Team | Rating | Record | Playoffs | Title | All-play | Luck | Last 3 | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Osfar's 3 Point Stance | 141.8 | 5-2 | 96% | 25% | 61-16 | −0.5 | 137.4 | +9.6 | |
| 2 | Dunne and Christmas | 139.2 | 6-1 | 99% | 24% | 55-21-1 | +1.0 | 150.7 | +6.9 | |
| 3 | Abject Failures | 137.4 | 4-3 | 80% | 14% | 50-27 | −0.5 | 147.8 | +5.2 | |
| 4 | Chili P Roll | 135.3 | 4-3 | 77% | 11% | 39-38 | +0.5 | 133.8 | +3.1 | |
| 5 | Bizzy B's | 131.7 | 3-4 | 36% | 4.4% | 34-43 | −0.1 | 146.1 | −0.6 | |
| 6 | 1 | Dat Velly Funny | 130.3 | 6-1 | 92% | 11% | 36-40-1 | +2.7 | 118.0 | −2.0 |
| 7 | 4 | Gerald Rogers | 130.1 | 3-4 | 31% | 3.0% | 31-45-1 | +0.1 | 137.6 | −2.1 |
| 8 | 2 | Aerie | 129.8 | 2-5 | 14% | 1.4% | 31-46 | −0.8 | 135.2 | −2.5 |
| 9 | 1 | Mike R | 128.5 | 4-3 | 43% | 3.8% | 31-46 | +1.2 | 132.1 | −3.8 |
| 10 | 1 | LA Fatty | 128.3 | 3-4 | 22% | 1.9% | 33-44 | 0.0 | 99.3 | −4.0 |
| 11 | 1 | Mud Smackers | 127.5 | 2-5 | 10% | 0.8% | 32-44-1 | −1.0 | 113.8 | −4.8 |
| 12 | 4 | Mr Trombone | 127.4 | 0-7 | 0.4% | <0.1% | 27-50 | −2.5 | 105.5 | −4.9 |
- Rating: points the team should score in a typical week (league average 132.3).
- All-play: record if every team played every other team each week.
- Luck: wins above (+) or below (−) what the all-play record would give.
- Playoffs / Title: share of 10,000 simulated seasons. Top 6 make the playoffs.
Week 8 · pre-week odds
Win probabilities
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
61%
SCHNBizzy B's
39%
BBLA Fatty
38%
KOSHDunne and Christmas
62%
DNRMike R
40%
MikeAbject Failures
60%
ENDODat Velly Funny
44%
SJChili P Roll
56%
PoopGerald Rogers
53%
DickMud Smackers
47%
SMAKMr Trombone
47%
PAULAerie
53%
DOGReport card
How it's doing
Picks this season
23-13
64% of winners picked, weeks 2 on
Backtest 2018–2025
58.5%
winners picked in 615 games, vs 53.8% for record and 57.5% for points scored
League average
132.3
points per team per week
Weekly swing
±24
typical week-to-week change in a team's score
Fantasy football is mostly luck week to week, so even the best team rarely tops 65% in a single matchup. How it works →
- Ratings and odds update automatically within about 15 minutes of ESPN marking a week final (usually early Tuesday morning ET).
- Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, including the playoff bracket. Tiebreakers follow ESPN's head-to-head-then-points rule as closely as we can reconstruct it; once the regular season ends, ESPN's real seeds are used.