Archive: the Power Index as it stood after week 4. Back to the latest →
After week 4
The rankings
| # | Move | Team | Rating | Record | Playoffs | Title | All-play | Luck | Last 3 | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Osfar's 3 Point Stance | 144.3 | 4-0 | 97% | 27% | 41-3 | +0.3 | 158.5 | +10.1 | |
| 2 | LA Fatty | 137.6 | 3-1 | 79% | 14% | 29-15 | +0.4 | 129.7 | +3.4 | |
| 3 | 4 | Dunne and Christmas | 137.2 | 3-1 | 78% | 13% | 29-14-1 | +0.3 | 135.8 | +3.0 |
| 4 | 1 | Chili P Roll | 136.9 | 3-1 | 76% | 13% | 24-20 | +0.8 | 142.8 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Abject Failures | 135.7 | 1-3 | 38% | 5.4% | 26-18 | −1.4 | 134.7 | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 2 | Dat Velly Funny | 134.9 | 4-0 | 85% | 12% | 27-16-1 | +1.5 | 130.3 | +0.7 |
| 7 | 1 | Mr Trombone | 134.7 | 0-4 | 19% | 2.8% | 21-23 | −1.9 | 132.9 | +0.6 |
| 8 | Mud Smackers | 132.5 | 1-3 | 30% | 3.5% | 17-26-1 | −0.6 | 127.1 | −1.7 | |
| 9 | 3 | Aerie | 129.4 | 1-3 | 19% | 2.0% | 13-31 | −0.2 | 121.9 | −4.7 |
| 10 | 1 | Gerald Rogers | 129.2 | 0-4 | 9.3% | 0.9% | 11-32-1 | −1.0 | 122.9 | −5.0 |
| 11 | 1 | Bizzy B's | 128.8 | 1-3 | 17% | 1.8% | 12-32 | −0.1 | 125.7 | −5.3 |
| 12 | 3 | Mike R | 128.7 | 3-1 | 52% | 4.9% | 12-32 | +1.9 | 112.9 | −5.5 |
- Rating: points the team should score in a typical week (league average 134.2).
- All-play: record if every team played every other team each week.
- Luck: wins above (+) or below (−) what the all-play record would give.
- Playoffs / Title: share of 10,000 simulated seasons. Top 6 make the playoffs.
Week 5 · pre-week odds
Win probabilities
Chili P Roll
42%
PoopOsfar's 3 Point Stance
58%
SCHNMud Smackers
46%
SMAKAbject Failures
54%
ENDOAerie
41%
DOGDunne and Christmas
59%
DNRMr Trombone
57%
PAULBizzy B's
43%
BBGerald Rogers
41%
DickLA Fatty
59%
KOSHDat Velly Funny
57%
SJMike R
43%
MikeReport card
How it's doing
Picks this season
15-3
83% of winners picked, weeks 2 on
Backtest 2018–2025
58.5%
winners picked in 615 games, vs 53.8% for record and 57.5% for points scored
League average
134.2
points per team per week
Weekly swing
±24
typical week-to-week change in a team's score
Fantasy football is mostly luck week to week, so even the best team rarely tops 65% in a single matchup. How it works →
- Ratings and odds update automatically within about 15 minutes of ESPN marking a week final (usually early Tuesday morning ET).
- Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, including the playoff bracket. Tiebreakers follow ESPN's head-to-head-then-points rule as closely as we can reconstruct it; once the regular season ends, ESPN's real seeds are used.