Archive: the Power Index as it stood after week 3. Back to the latest →
After week 3
The rankings
| # | Move | Team | Rating | Record | Playoffs | Title | All-play | Luck | Last 3 | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Osfar's 3 Point Stance | 143.6 | 3-0 | 92% | 26% | 31-2 | +0.2 | 163.8 | +9.1 | |
| 2 | LA Fatty | 137.3 | 2-1 | 69% | 12% | 20-13 | +0.2 | 143.4 | +2.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | Chili P Roll | 136.8 | 2-1 | 67% | 11% | 17-16 | +0.5 | 141.9 | +2.3 |
| 4 | 1 | Dat Velly Funny | 136.7 | 3-0 | 80% | 14% | 25-7-1 | +0.7 | 141.5 | +2.2 |
| 5 | 1 | Abject Failures | 135.4 | 0-3 | 28% | 4.1% | 18-15 | −1.6 | 137.3 | +0.9 |
| 6 | 3 | Mr Trombone | 135.4 | 0-3 | 29% | 4.3% | 16-17 | −1.5 | 137.2 | +0.8 |
| 7 | 3 | Dunne and Christmas | 134.7 | 2-1 | 60% | 9.0% | 18-14-1 | +0.3 | 135.1 | +0.2 |
| 8 | 1 | Mud Smackers | 132.3 | 1-2 | 35% | 4.2% | 11-21-1 | 0.0 | 127.3 | −2.3 |
| 9 | 2 | Mike R | 131.8 | 3-0 | 67% | 8.4% | 12-21 | +1.9 | 125.8 | −2.7 |
| 10 | 1 | Bizzy B's | 130.7 | 1-2 | 29% | 3.4% | 11-22 | 0.0 | 122.2 | −3.9 |
| 11 | 1 | Gerald Rogers | 129.9 | 0-3 | 16% | 1.8% | 8-24-1 | −0.8 | 119.6 | −4.7 |
| 12 | 2 | Aerie | 129.8 | 1-2 | 28% | 3.1% | 9-24 | +0.2 | 119.3 | −4.8 |
- Rating: points the team should score in a typical week (league average 134.5).
- All-play: record if every team played every other team each week.
- Luck: wins above (+) or below (−) what the all-play record would give.
- Playoffs / Title: share of 10,000 simulated seasons. Top 6 make the playoffs.
Week 4 · pre-week odds
Win probabilities
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
62%
SCHNMud Smackers
38%
SMAKChili P Roll
58%
PoopAerie
42%
DOGAbject Failures
50%
ENDOMr Trombone
50%
PAULDunne and Christmas
55%
DNRGerald Rogers
45%
DickBizzy B's
43%
BBDat Velly Funny
57%
SJLA Fatty
56%
KOSHMike R
44%
MikeReport card
How it's doing
Picks this season
9-3
75% of winners picked, weeks 2 on
Backtest 2018–2025
58.5%
winners picked in 615 games, vs 53.8% for record and 57.5% for points scored
League average
134.5
points per team per week
Weekly swing
±24
typical week-to-week change in a team's score
Fantasy football is mostly luck week to week, so even the best team rarely tops 65% in a single matchup. How it works →
- Ratings and odds update automatically within about 15 minutes of ESPN marking a week final (usually early Tuesday morning ET).
- Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, including the playoff bracket. Tiebreakers follow ESPN's head-to-head-then-points rule as closely as we can reconstruct it; once the regular season ends, ESPN's real seeds are used.