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The Aerie
This week
2026 · After week 2

Power Index

Every team rated by the points it really scores in a typical week, not by its record. Updated automatically after each week goes final, with 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.

Archive: the Power Index as it stood after week 2. Back to the latest →

1
1
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
145.6
Rating
2-0
Record
21%
Title
2
1
LA Fatty
142.2
Rating
2-0
Record
16%
Title
3
3
Mr Trombone
140.7
Rating
0-2
Record
7.6%
Title
After week 2

The rankings

Updated Nov 2, 3:19 PM ET
Aerie Power Index, after week 2
#MoveTeamRatingRecordPlayoffsTitleAll-playLuckLast 3vs avg
11
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
145.62-087%21%21-1+0.1173.6+8.5
21
LA Fatty
142.22-080%16%18-4+0.4159.0+5.1
33
Mr Trombone
140.70-246%7.6%16-6−1.5152.2+3.5
41
Dunne and Christmas
139.62-074%13%17-4-1+0.4147.7+2.4
51
Dat Velly Funny
138.72-070%11%16-5-1+0.5143.9+1.6
61
Abject Failures
138.10-238%5.8%13-9−1.2141.3+1.0
7
Mike R
135.62-061%8.5%8-14+1.3130.4−1.6
8
Chili P Roll
134.81-144%5.6%6-16+0.5126.9−2.4
9
Mud Smackers
133.80-224%3.0%4-18−0.4122.7−3.4
10
Aerie
133.61-138%4.6%6-16+0.5122.0−3.5
111
Bizzy B's
132.10-219%2.2%5-17−0.5115.4−5.1
121
Gerald Rogers
131.10-219%2.0%1-21−0.1111.1−6.0
Week 3 · pre-week odds

Win probabilities

Full forecast →
Aerie
37%
DOG
vs
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
63%
SCHN
Mr Trombone
57%
PAUL
vs
Mud Smackers
43%
SMAK
Gerald Rogers
46%
Dick
vs
Chili P Roll
54%
Poop
Dat Velly Funny
51%
SJ
vs
Abject Failures
49%
ENDO
Mike R
46%
Mike
vs
Dunne and Christmas
54%
DNR
LA Fatty
61%
KOSH
vs
Bizzy B's
39%
BB
Report card

How it's doing

Picks this season
6-0
100% of winners picked, weeks 2 on
Backtest 2018–2025
58.5%
winners picked in 615 games, vs 53.8% for record and 57.5% for points scored
League average
137.2
points per team per week
Weekly swing
±25
typical week-to-week change in a team's score

Fantasy football is mostly luck week to week, so even the best team rarely tops 65% in a single matchup. How it works →