Archive: the Power Index as it stood after week 1. Back to the latest →
After week 1
The rankings
| # | Move | Team | Rating | Record | Playoffs | Title | All-play | Luck | Last 3 | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LA Fatty | 148.3 | 1-0 | 73% | 16% | 11-0 | 0.0 | 183.9 | +5.4 |
| 2 | 2 | Osfar's 3 Point Stance | 146.2 | 1-0 | 68% | 13% | 10-1 | +0.1 | 168.4 | +3.4 |
| 3 | 9 | Dunne and Christmas | 145.3 | 1-0 | 66% | 12% | 9-2 | +0.2 | 161.2 | +2.4 |
| 4 | 7 | Dat Velly Funny | 144.3 | 1-0 | 60% | 10% | 8-3 | +0.3 | 153.5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | Abject Failures | 143.7 | 0-1 | 44% | 7.5% | 7-4 | −0.6 | 148.9 | +0.8 | |
| 6 | 1 | Mr Trombone | 143.0 | 0-1 | 42% | 6.9% | 6-5 | −0.5 | 143.9 | +0.1 |
| 7 | 5 | Mike R | 142.4 | 1-0 | 56% | 8.7% | 5-6 | +0.5 | 139.8 | −0.4 |
| 8 | 2 | Chili P Roll | 142.2 | 1-0 | 56% | 8.4% | 4-7 | +0.6 | 137.8 | −0.7 |
| 9 | 8 | Mud Smackers | 142.2 | 0-1 | 40% | 6.1% | 3-8 | −0.3 | 137.7 | −0.7 |
| 10 | 1 | Aerie | 139.9 | 0-1 | 34% | 4.4% | 2-9 | −0.2 | 120.5 | −2.9 |
| 11 | 8 | Gerald Rogers | 139.3 | 0-1 | 32% | 4.0% | 1-10 | −0.1 | 115.5 | −3.6 |
| 12 | 6 | Bizzy B's | 137.6 | 0-1 | 28% | 3.4% | 0-11 | 0.0 | 103.1 | −5.2 |
- Rating: points the team should score in a typical week (league average 142.8).
- All-play: record if every team played every other team each week.
- Luck: wins above (+) or below (−) what the all-play record would give.
- Playoffs / Title: share of 10,000 simulated seasons. Top 6 make the playoffs.
Week 2 · pre-week odds
Win probabilities
Osfar's 3 Point Stance
53%
SCHNMr Trombone
47%
PAULAerie
51%
DOGGerald Rogers
49%
DickMud Smackers
48%
SMAKDat Velly Funny
52%
SJChili P Roll
50%
PoopMike R
50%
MikeAbject Failures
45%
ENDOLA Fatty
55%
KOSHDunne and Christmas
58%
DNRBizzy B's
42%
BBReport card
How it's doing
Picks this season
0-0
Starts in week 2
Backtest 2018–2025
58.5%
winners picked in 615 games, vs 53.8% for record and 57.5% for points scored
League average
142.8
points per team per week
Weekly swing
±26
typical week-to-week change in a team's score
Fantasy football is mostly luck week to week, so even the best team rarely tops 65% in a single matchup. How it works →
- Ratings and odds update automatically within about 15 minutes of ESPN marking a week final (usually early Tuesday morning ET).
- Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, including the playoff bracket. Tiebreakers follow ESPN's head-to-head-then-points rule as closely as we can reconstruct it; once the regular season ends, ESPN's real seeds are used.